Objective To explore the independent risk factors for hospital infections in tertiary hospitals in Gansu Province, and establish and validate a prediction model. Methods A total of 690 patients hospitalized with hospital infections in Gansu Provincial Hospital between January and December 2021 were selected as the infection group; matched with admission department and age at a 1∶1 ratio, 690 patients who were hospitalized during the same period without hospital infections were selected as the control group. The information including underlying diseases, endoscopic operations, blood transfusion and immunosuppressant use of the two groups were compared, the factors influencing hospital infections in hospitalized patients were analyzed through multiple logistic regression, and the logistic prediction model was established. Eighty percent of the data from Gansu Provincial Hospital were used as the training set of the model, and the remaining 20% were used as the test set for internal validation. Case data from other three hospitals in Gansu Province were used for external validation. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the model effectiveness. Results Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that endoscopic therapeutic manipulation [odds ratio (OR)=3.360, 95% confidence interval (CI) (2.496, 4.523)], indwelling catheter [OR=3.100, 95%CI (2.352, 4.085)], organ transplantation/artifact implantation [OR=3.133, 95%CI (1.780, 5.516)], blood or blood product transfusions [OR=3.412, 95%CI (2.626, 4.434)], glucocorticoids [OR=2.253, 95%CI (1.608, 3.157)], the number of underlying diseases [OR=1.197, 95%CI (1.068, 1.342)], and the number of surgical procedures performed during hospitalization [OR=1.221, 95%CI (1.096, 1.361)] were risk factors for hospital infections. The regression equation of the prediction model was: logit(P)=–2.208+1.212×endoscopic therapeutic operations+1.131×indwelling urinary catheters+1.142×organ transplantation/artifact implantation+1.227×transfusion of blood or blood products+0.812×glucocorticosteroids+0.180×number of underlying diseases+0.200×number of surgical procedures performed during the hospitalization. The internal validation set model had a sensitivity of 72.857%, a specificity of 77.206%, an accuracy of 76.692%, and an AUC value of 0.817. The external validation model had a sensitivity of 63.705%, a specificity of 70.934%, an accuracy of 68.669%, and an AUC value of 0.726. Conclusions Endoscopic treatment operation, indwelling catheter, organ transplantation/artifact implantation, blood or blood product transfusion, glucocorticoid, number of underlying diseases, and number of surgical cases during hospitalization are influencing factors of hospital infections. The model can effectively predict the occurrence of hospital infections and guide the clinic to take preventive measures to reduce the occurrence of hospital infections.
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in clinic, which can cause hemodynamic changes, heart failure and stroke, and seriously affect human life and health. As a self-promoting disease, the treatment of AF can become more and more difficult with the deterioration of the disease, and the early prediction and intervention of AF is the key to curbing the deterioration of the disease. Based on this, in this study, by controlling the dose of acetylcholine, we changed the AF vulnerability of five mongrel dogs and tried to assess it by analyzing the electrophysiology of atrial epicardium under different states of sinus rhythm. Here, indices from four aspects were proposed to study the atrial activation rule. They are the variability of atrial activation rhythm, the change of the earliest atrial activation, the change of atrial activation delay and the left-right atrial dyssynchrony. By using binary logistic regression analysis, multiple indices above were transformed into the AF inducibility, which were used to classify the signals during sinus rhythm. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of classification reached 85.7%, 95.8% and 91.7%, respectively. As the experimental results show, the proposed method has the ability to assess the AF vulnerability of atrium, which is of great clinical significance for the early prediction and intervention of AF.
ObjectiveTo investigate the association of preoperative serum uric acid (UA) levels with postoperative prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) in patients undergoing mechanical heart valve replacement.MethodsClinical data of 311 patients undergoing mechanical heart valve replacement in The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2017 to December 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 164 males at age of 55.6±11.4 years and 147 females at age of 54.2±9.8 years. The patients were divided into a PMV group (>48 h) and a control group according to whether the duration of PMV was longer than 48 hours. Spearman's rank correlation coefficient and logistic regression analysis were conducted to evaluate the relationship between preoperative UA and postoperative PMV. The predictive value of UA for PMV was undertaken using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve..ResultsAmong 311 patients, 38 (12.2%) developed postoperative PMV. Preoperative serum UA level mean values were 6.11±1.94 mg/dl, while the mean UA concentration in the PMV group was significantly higher than that in the control group (7.48±2.24 mg/dl vs. 5.92±1.82 mg/dl, P<0.001). Rank correlation analysis showed that UA was positively correlated with postoperative PMV (rs=0.205, P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that preoperative elevated UA was associated independently with postoperative PMV with odds ratio (OR)=1.44 and confidence interval (CI) 1.15–1.81 (P=0.002). The area under the ROC curve of UA predicting PMV was 0.72, 95% CI0.635–0.806, 6.40 mg/dl was the optimal cut-off value, and the sensitivity and specificity was 76.3% and 63.0% at this time, respectively.ConclusionPreoperative elevated serum UA is an independent risk factor for postoperative PMV in patients undergoing mechanical heart valve replacement and has a good predictive value.
Objective To construct and verify the diagnostic model of preoperative malignant risk of ovarian tumors, so as to improve the diagnostic efficiency of existing test indexes. Methods The related serological indicators and clinical data of patients with ovarian tumors confirmed by pathology who were treated in the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University between January 2019 and September 2023 were retrospectively collected, and the patients were randomly divided into a training set and a verification set at a 7∶3 ratio. Logistic regression was used to construct a diagnostic model in the training set, and the diagnostic efficacy of the model was verified through discrimination, calibration, clinical benefit, and clinical applicability evaluation. Results A total of 929 patients with ovarian tumors were included, including 318 cases of malignant ovarian tumors and 611 cases of benign ovarian tumors. The patients were randomly divided into a training set of 658 cases and a validation set of 271 cases. A diagnostic model was constructed using logistic regression in the training set, containing 5 factors namely age, percentage of neutrophil (NEU%), fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR), carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125), and human epididymis protein 4 (HE4): modelUAM=?3.211+0.667×age+2.966×CA125+0.792×FAR+1.637×HE4+0.533×NEU%, with a Hosmer-Lemeshow test P-value of 0.21. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve measured in the training set was 0.927 [95% confidence interval (0.903, 0.951)], the sensitivity was 0.947, and the specificity was 0.780. The area under the ROC curve of the validation set was 0.888 [95% confidence interval (0.840, 0.930)], the sensitivity was 0.744, and the specificity was 0.901. Conclusion A new quantitative tool based on age, NEU%, FAR, CA125 and HE4 can be used for the clinical diagnosis of ovarian malignant tumors, and it is helpful to improve the diagnostic efficiency and is worth popularizing.
Objective To investigate the feasibility of diagnosis of potential chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients who cannot finish the pulmonary function test via biphasic CT scan. Methods Sixty-seven male individuals aged 43 to 74 (57.0±5.9) years were divided into a COPD group (n=26) and a control group (n=41). All individuals underwent biphasic quantitative CT scan for calculating the proportion of emphysema, functional small airway disease, and normal component of the whole lung and each lobe. Results Based on principle component analysis, two principal components “imaging feature function 1 and imaging feature function 2” were calculated and analyzed by logistic regression, which found that imaging feature function 1 was an independent risk factor of COPD (odds ratio=8.749, P<0.001), and imaging features function 1 could be used to assist the diagnosis of COPD (area under receiver operating characteristic curve=0.843, P<0.001). Conclusion Imaging features function 1 is an independent risk factor for COPD and can assist the diagnosis of COPD.
ObjectiveTo evaluate the predictors of generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) among teachers in 3 months after Lushan earthquake. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted to diagnostically evaluate the psychological sequelae and GAD during 14-20 days and 85-95 days after the earthquake. The possible predictive factors of psychological sequelae were assessed by a self-made questionnaire and the GAD was assessed by the GAD symptom criterion of M.I.N.I. in 3 months. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis (ULRA, MLRA) were applied to analyze the predictors of GAD after the two-staged assessments. ResultsThere were a total of 319 teachers completed the two-staged assessments. The total response rate was 51.3%. Seventy teachers were diagnosed as GAD and the prevalence of GAD in 3 months was 21.9%. The predictive factors by ULRA included:male, older than 35 years old, having unlivable house, living in tents, sleeping difficulties, easy to feel sad, physical discomfort, loss of appetite, feeling short of social support, unable to calm down for working, feeling difficult for teaching, observing more inattention of students, and wanting to ask for a leave. The independent predictors by MLRA included:male, having unlivable house, feeling short of social support, and feeling difficult for teaching. ConclusionThe teachers have a higher likelihood of GAD after earthquake. It is essential to pay more attention to those male teachers, who feel short of social support and don't have a livable house thus to prevent the GAD at the early stage of post-earthquake.
Objective To explore the risk factors of invasive fungal infection ( IFI) in respiratory ward. Methods A multi-center, retrospective, case-control study was carried out. Patients from five general hospitals in Chongqing city, diagnosed as fungal infection, or whose respiratory specimens were fungal positive, were retrospectively screened for IFI. Patients with respiratory infection and colonization of nonfungal cases in the same period of hospitalization were enrolled as control. Results Thirty-four patients diagnosed with IFI and 50 patients diagnosed with bacterial infection were analyzed for the risk factors of IFI. The demographic characteristics of patients including age and gender were not different( P gt; 0. 05) , but hospitalization days, carbapenem antibiotic use, chemotherapy, deep venous catheterization, total parenteralnutrition( TPN) , neutropenia, and renal disfunction were different significantly between the IFI group and the control group. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that carbapenem antibiotic use ( OR = 6. 753) ,central venous catheterization ( OR = 5. 021) and TPN ( OR = 3. 199) were main risk factors of invasive fungal infection. Conclusion The carbapenem antibiotic use, central venous catheterization and TPN are risk factors for IFI in respiratory ward.
Abstract: Objective To investigate the method of improving effect, by investigating and analyzing the possible risk factors affecting shortterm outcome after total correction of tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). Methods Data of 219 patients who received total correction of TOF were divided into two groups according to the length of postoperative stay in hospital and recovery of heart function in the near future. Group A(n=110): patients had good recovery of heart function classified as gradeⅠorⅡ（NYHA classification）, and could smoothly be discharged from the hospital within two weeks without serious complications. The left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) had to exceed to 0.50 during 6 months followup visit. Group B(n=109): patients had worse recovery of heart function classified as grade Ⅱ or Ⅲ, and could not be discharged within two weeks with severe complications. LVEF was less than 0.50 during 6 months followup visit. The clinical data of two groups were compared, and risk factors affecting shortterm outcome after total correction of TOF operation were analyzed by logistic regression and model selection. Results There were good recovery of heart function classified as gradeⅠorⅡ(NYHA classification）in discharge, no death, and LVEF all exceeded to 0.50 in group A; there were 8 deaths in group B (7.34 %), and recovery of heart function was worse classified as grade Ⅱ or Ⅲ, with LVEF being less than 0.50（Plt;0.01）. Amount of postoperative daily thoracic drainage, assisted respiration time, time of inotropic agent stabilizing circulation, and the average length of postoperative stay in group A were all less or short than those in group B（Plt;0.01）. But the bypass and clamping time of group B were exceeded group A. The ratio of patching astride annulus in group B was greater than that in group A, and Nakata index was less than that in group A(Plt;0.01). The results of logistic regression and model selection indicate: age at repair (OR=0.69), oxygen saturation(OR=0.98), haematocrit before operation (OR=0.94), and patching astride annulus (OR=46.86), Nakata index (OR=16.90), amount of postoperative daily thoracic drainage (OR=0.84), presence of arrhythmia(OR=0.87), and wound infection(OR=63.57) have significant effect with shortterm outcome after total correction of TOF operation. Conclusions The probable methods to improving effect of shortterm outcome after total correction of TOF are an earlier age at repair, decreasing haematocrit, rising oxygen saturation before surgery, performing a palliative operation facilitating development of arteriae pulmonalis in earlier time, improving the surgical technique, and strengthening the perioperative care.
Objective To investigate the adverse pregnant outcomes of hospitalized pregnant women in Lanzhou city, and analyze the corresponding risk factors and provide basis for the further research on better child-bearing and child-rearing. Methods In two provincial-level hospitals and one provincial-level specialized hospital, the method of cluster random sampling was applied to extract 6 825 medical records from January 2004 to December 2005. The relevant information was abstracted and correlative analyses were undertaken. Results The incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes for the hospitalized pregnant women in Lanzhou city was 14.65%. Single-factor unconditional logistic regression analyses displayed that the variables with statistical significance were the number of previous pregnancies, the number of previous child delivery, abortion history, abnormal gestation history, and past medical history, whereas multi-factor unconditional logistic regression analyses revealed that the adverse pregnancy outcomes were positively correlated with abnormal gestation history and the number of previous pregnancies with statistical significance. Conclusion The incidence of adverse pregnancy outcomes for the hospitalized pregnant women in Lanzhou city is quite high. Abnormal gestation history and the number of previous pregnancies are the main risk factors for the adverse pregnancy outcomes.
Objective To analyze the influencing factors on postoperative complications and mortality of gastric cancer after total gastrectomy. Methods The clinical data of 622 patients with gastric cancer received total gastrectomy were collected. According to the extent of lymph node dissection, the patients were divided into 2 groups: D0/D1 group (n=35) and D2/D3 group (n=587). The risk factors influencing postoperative morbidity and mortality were determined by logistic multiple regression analysis. Results The total postoperative complication morbidity and mortality for all patients were 9.81% (61/622) and 2.89% (18/622), respectively. The postoperative complication morbidity was 8.57% (3/35) and 9.88% (58/587) in the two groups, the postoperative mortality was 2.86% (1/35) and 2.90% (17/587) in the two groups, there were no significant differences between the two groups (Pgt;0.05). The most common postoperative complication was intestinal obstruction (18.03%, 11/61). Multivariate analysis revealed that risk factors on the postoperative complications and mortality were age ≥ 70 years, TNM stage Ⅳ, preoperative complication, palliative excision, merely manual or mechanical anastomosis, and multivisceral resection (Plt;0.05), however, the extent of lymph node was not influencing factor (Pgt;0.05). Conclusions Patients with advanced gastric cancer have a high risk of postoperative complications and mortality. Multiple organ resection should be avoided for patients with gastric cancer of TNM stage Ⅳ.